Faldende tilflytning til København

Befolkningen i København

Befolkning og bevægelser er opdateret med året 2016:

  • I løbet af 2016 steg folketallet i København fra 591.481 til 602.481.
  • I 2016 blev der født 10.091 børn og der døde 3.821 personer, fødselsoverskuddet blev dermed på 6.270.
  • Nettotilflytningen blev på 4.882 i 2016. Det er mindre end i 2015, hvor den var på 5.812.

Det er vist ikke 1000 tilflyttere om måneden, men 600, som udgøres af studerende og indvandrere.

Marts 2017

Dialogmøder med Københavns Politi

Politiets Task Force ønsker en revision af dialogmøderne med bydelen om udviklingen på Christiania. Fremover skal møderne afholdes hver 6 måned, og noget tyder på en udskiftning af en eller flere af de nuværende aktører, som alle er interesseorganisationer. Kilde lokaluvalget.

Københavnerne på overførsel

56.900 modtog offentlige ydelser i 3. kvartal 2016, og dermed er der et overskud på 318 mio. på den kommunale konto.

Copenhagen Street Food

De 35 aktører med spisesteder på Christiansholm har ikke kunnet enes om Bispeengen til nyt madmarked. Et noget aparte tilbud kommunen har foreslået som alternativ. Den enkelte indehaver vil nu gå egne veje, hvilket betyder at markeder spredes ud i byen. Det er måske ikke en god løsning for Christiansholm, som synes at blive en kedelig affære, men det er godt for København.

Metro Cityringen

Københavns Overborgmester Frank Jensen nægter at udtale sig om den aktuelle økonomi i cityringen, hvor skatteborgerne i København hænger på eventuelle ekstra regninger.

Badelande

Religionsopdelte svømmehaller og badelande er ny toner. Gardiner og mørkelægning skal sikre en kønsopdeling. På badestranden er det Burkini beklædningen som er et diskussionsemne, bare en storm i et glas vand synes et flertal.

Bycyklen

Ny kritik blev fremsat af Københavns Kommunes bycykel, som konkurrerer med skattekroner om udlejning til hoteller og turister. Bycyklen er samtidig kommet i stormvejr, men synes at blive reddet i en konstruktion finansieret af SAXO bank, som er den største kreditor i GOBIKE.

Amager Bakke, et kommunalt selskab.

En redegørelse fra bestyrelsen om en eksplosion tilbage i februar er blevet afvist af politikerne. Dele af bestyrelsen har valgt at holde hånden over direktøren, og sagen henlægges. Også økonomien halter som en konsekvens af direktørens prognoser. Derfor skal der importeres affald for at gøre driften rentabel, og formanden for bestyrelsen i Amager Bakke (S i København) har som en konsekvens forsøgt at fyre den oplagt økonomisk uansvarlige ledelse, men han blev nedstemt. Han har derfor valgt at forlade sin post.

Danske Bank på Torvet lukker butikken den 7. maj

Som den sidste rækken af bank filialer lukker Danske Bank på torvet, som for få år siden husede sparekasserne SDS & Bikuben, som fusionerede med Nordea og Danske Bank, så Handelsbanken. Selv Nordea i Ørkenfortet er det snart slut med.

Københavnere lader sig skille

København har 600.000 indbyggere, og hver fjerde er gift. I 2016 valgte 3.000 københavnere at lade sig skille, og dermed har København igen  flest skilsmisser. Det skriver Berlingske.

Sidste år blev der ifølge Danmarks Statistik foretaget 16 skilsmisser pr. 1.000 gifte indbyggere på landsplan. I København er tallet 21. København har ligget helt i top hvert år, siden man begyndte at opgøre skilsmisser på byplan for ni år siden – lige på nær i 2012, et år hvor Læsølå nr. og København nr. 2.

Byens tilbud kan være årsag

Kultursociolog Emilia van Hauen mener, at forklaringen på de mange skilsmisser i Københavns skal findes i storbyens bevægelse. Et forholdsvist smalt geografisk område bevæger sig hele tiden i nye retninger. Det kan have en indflydelse på ægteskabet.

First movers eller trendsættere bor i storbyer

Storbymennesker bliver gennem denne bevægelig i langt højere grad påvirket af stimuli end folk på landet, og byens indbyggere er derfor mere åbne. De inspireres af bevægelighed indenfor kunst, kultur, uddannelse og økonomi, hvor mange tilbud gør flere til first movers, som igen er en udfordring for ægteskabet.

Nyt i februar 2017

Det nye TAP1  

TAPl åbner til sommer på Raffinaderivej 10 og vil kunne rumme alt fra musik events, konferencer, udstillinger middage til TV-shows, møder, messer m.m.

Kommunekassen

Bogføringen halter og kassen kan bruges af de ansatte som et tag selv bord. Kommunen afviser.

Bogføringen af udgifter og kontrollen med medarbejderes dankort halter i Københavns Kommune. Det konkluderer revisionsfirmaet Deloitte, der står bag en årlige revisionsrapport af kommunens regnskabsføring og interne kontroller. - Hvis man bare kan sætte et privat bilag ind, uden at nogle bemærker det, så er det klart, at det kan gå galt. Der forekommer svig i alle store organisationer, også i Københavns Kommune, og det skal man sikre bliver minimeret, siger han til DR. Kilde DR P4 København.

Kuglegården

Nyt tillæg for Lokalplan Holmen måske undervejs. Mogens de Linde ønsker at udbygge Kuglegården, og modernisere Base Camp.

Forsvarskommandoen på Arsenaløen købt af Mogens Linde

Flere flytter ud af København

Berlingske skrev den 18. februar:

De høje priser på det københavnske boligmarked får børnefamilier til at bytte storbylivet ud med hus og have. Udflytterne får nu huspriserne til at stige rundt om København.

København er i stigende grad multikulturel. Det fortæller de sidste tal, som Danmarks Statistik har udarbejdet for Berlingske. Det fremgår, at 144.000 af  byens i dag 600.000 borgere eller 24% er indvandrere eller efterkommere af indvandrere mod 18% i 2004, hvor byen havde omkring 500.000 borgere. Anna  Mee Allerslev (født i Sydkorea i 1984), byens radikale borgmester for integration hilser den multikulturelle udvikling velkommen sålænge de ny borgere bidrager til fællesskabet.

Lokaludvalg.

Der arbejdes med ny, måske mere demokratiske regler, måske med direkte valg af bydelens borgere, hvilket skyldes et forslag om nedlæggelse af lokaludvalgene. Tilbage i 2010 var der en disput om borgernes indragelse. Borgermøderne var ikke i sig selv repræsentative, og er det stadig ikke. Kommunikationen ud til borgerne er forsøgt forbedret med undersøgelser på nettet, men konklusionerne er ofte drejet i den retning de lokalpolitiske tovholdere ønsker

Indkørslen til den ny Krøyers Plads

Nye boliger

Specielt bygges der meget Nordhavn og på Teglholmen. Der bygges så meget for tiden, at København fik 4.300 nye boliger, skriver Berlingske. Mange af dem i millionklassen. I Ørestad skyder almene +boliger op, og med den forslidte argumentation, at byen får 1.000 nu kun 10.000 ny borgere om året, og ikke 1.000 om måneden, hvor halvdelen stammer fra et fødselsoverskud, og den anden halvdel udgør en tilflytning fra udlandet, så er borgmester Frank Jensen glad.

Christiania

Natten til den 3. februar omkring klokken 02.15 blev en ung mand, kendt af politiet, stukket med en kniv i Prinsessegade foran Christiania. Manden er for nærværende under behandling på hospitalet.

Billedet linker til Christianshavns Torv

 

Cykelparkering

En undersøgelse viser, at kun 33% af borgerne i København er tilfreds med de eksisterende forhold, og kommunen vil nu kortlægge cykelparkeringen ned i detaljen for at forstå, hvor det går galt og hvorfor.

Palads bygningen må gerne rives ned til fordel for :

En Karré, tre tårne og et gårdrum med åbent kig til banegraven og en selvstændig tårnbygning nord for Vandværksviadukten. er det planen at bygge. I Stueetagerne udadvendte funktioner. I karréen opført i 24 m højde og de fire tårne i en højde på 50-100 m kontorer og måske boliger. Planerne er samlet på 75.000-81.000 etagemeter og har en bebyggelsesprocent på 400-430.

Byens borgere i tal

I løbet af 3. kvartal 2016 steg Københavns folketal fra 594.535 (2015) til 601.448  (Det registrerede antal københavnere med udgangen af 3 kvartal), en stigning på 6.913 personer mod en stigning i 3. kvartal 2015 på 6.174.

I 3. kvartal 2016 blev der født 2.870 børn og der døde 924 personer. Sammenlignet med 3. kvartal 2015 er antallet af fødte steget med 219, og antallet af døde er steget med 37. Nettovirkningen af fødte og døde – det såkaldte fødselsoverskud – blev på 1.946 mod 1.764 i 3. kvartal 2015. Fødselsoverskuddet er hermed større end i samme periode sidste år.

I løbet af 3. kvartal 2016 flyttede 15.112 personer til København fra andre kommuner, hvilket er 195 færre end i 3. kvartal 2015.

Samtidig flyttede i 3. kvartal 2016 i alt 13.600 personer fra København til andre kommuner, 330 færre end i tilsvarende kvartal i 2015.

Nettotilflytningen over for andre kommuner blev på 1.512 i 3. kvartal 2016 mod 1.377 i 3. kvartal 2015.

I 3. kvartal 2016 flyttede 8.123 personer til København fra udlandet og 4.626 personer flyttede fra København til udlandet.

I forhold til 3. kvartal 2015 er tilflytninger fra udlandet steget med 51 og fraflytninger til udlandet er faldet med 333 personer. Nettotilflytningen over for udlandet blev på 3.497 i 3. kvartal 2016 mod 3113 i 3. kvartal 2015.

Den samlede nettotilflytning til København i 3. kvartal 2016 blev på 5.009 mod 4.490 i 3. kvartal i 2015. Kilde Københavns Kommune

Københavner nr. 600.000!

København har i dag fejret sin indbygger nr 600.000, en nyfødt dreng klokken 04.00, som er navngivet Erik.

  • Erik er et rigtig godt eksempel på, at København vokser med cirka 1000 indbyggere om måneden. Halvdelen af den vækst, vi har, er nemlig nyfødte babyer. Den anden halvdel er udlændinge, der flytter til København for at arbejde i store danske virksomheder, sagde Frank Jensen tirsdag formiddag til TV 2 Lorry.

Lorry skriver : Der er dog ikke helt sikkert, at Erik faktisk er borger nummer 600.000. Fejringen bygger nemlig på kommunens befolkningsprognoser. Ud fra dem gætter man på, at Københavns borger nummer 600.000 kommer til verden i dag. Men befolkningstilvæksten i København stopper ikke ved 600.000. Prognoser viser nemlig også, at der vil være 100.000 flere københavnere ved udgangen af 2027. Det skyldes især, at flere børnefamilier bliver boende i Københavns Kommune, og at flere flytter til København fra udlandet. Samtidig kommer Boligsiden med den oplysning, at flere børnefamilier søger væk fra København til billigere boligpriser og frisk luft. Nogen til Hvidovre andre til Frederikssund.

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Sandheden bag tallet 1.000 ny borgere i København om måneden.

Spekulation eller reel boligmangel! Berlinske offentliggør i dag de tal som ligger bag befolkningstilvæksten i København i 2015. Det er ikke tilflyttere fra resten af landet, flugten fra land til by, som får befolkningstallet til at stige i København. De 11.297 ny københavnere, som byen fik i 2015, er primært nyfødte børn og indvandrere, og fordeler sig med et fødselsoverskud på 5.770 og 6.023 indvandrere, dvs. nettoindvandring fra udlandet. I forhold til resten af landet, fra land til by, så var der et minus på 211 personer.

Oplysningerne indeholder ikke tal for de studerende, som på årsbasis udgør en temmelig mobil gruppe. Flere studerende, flere københavnere, og for denne gruppe gælder, at forældrekøb af lejligheder har været med til at smadre prisstrukturen for de mange små billige lejligheder. København bygger i dag etagebyggeri i kasser, hvor flere mener at byen står overfor en gigantisk oprydning af boligmassen, da mange boliger iflg. forskellige udsagn ikke har de kvaliteter som forventes til specielt miljø og udenoms plads, som er et “must”for mange. Derfor kan mange københavnere, og ikke mindst de studerende, være på en gennemrejse, men i 2015-2016 synes mange unge familier alligevel at vælge bylivet i en lejlighed, frem for en bolig på landet, hvilket lægger et prismæssigt pres på familieboligerne. Denne stigning betyder samtidig at der frigøres kapital til at købe et billigt hus på “landet”.

 

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Fald i boligsalget

Juni 2016.

Kvadratmeterprisen i København og på Frederiksberg har passeret de 40.000 kroner, det viser tal fra BRF, men det tager lidt længere tid at sælge, i dag fra 3 til 9 måneder. En rummelig familiebolig i København koster dermed omkring 6 mio. kr.

Maj 2016. Salget af lejligheder i København er iflg. Boligsiden.dk faldet med 16% de første 4 måneder af 2016 i forhold til salget af boliger i samme periode i fjor. En kvartalsopgørelse oplyser, at faldet i København by er på 26%, og i Hovedstadsregionen på 19%.

Til gengæld går salget frem i områder hvor boligerne er billigere, hvilket er Vest- og Sydsjælland. Der er lidt modsatrettede informationer om udviklingen.

JP skriver den 21. maj, at en ny boligboble lurer under overfladen i København. Priserne stiger, det virker selvforstærkende, og de er nu på højde med priserne før finanskrisen. Samtidig er salgstiderne kortere, ca. 80 dage før, nu 69 dage, men samtidig oplyses det, at liggetiden er steget med 5% til 68 dage det sidste år.

Salget har i 2015 toppet de senere års salg med plus 7.000 solgte boliger, og denne udvikling til stigende priser giver panderynker hos økonomer, da flere og flere fravælger de dyre boliger i København.

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Ny boligprognose

Københavns kommune offentliggør i dag en rapport, hvor de anslår, at frem til 2027 vil byen vokse med 100.000 ny borgere, hvilket stiller krav om 45.000 ny boliger. Stigningen skyldes, at københavnerne i højere grad bliver boende i byen, de føder flere børn, og en øget tilstrømning af udenlandske statsborgere.

I 2016 forventes en stigning på 11.000 ny borgere. En cocktail af single kultur, flere studerende, forældrekøb, udenlandske statsborgere, og prisniveau øger priserne og presset på de mindre og små boliger. Om denne forudsigelse holder, eller er en teoretisk fremskrivning, som skal bruges i kampen for at få bygget flere almene boliger, det er det svært at gennemskue.

Flere københavnere betyder imidlertid også flere københavnske biler på gaderne. SF synes derfor, at københavnerne skal betale for den trængsel de selv skaber ved at betale 2,50 kr. pr. kørt kilometer, og så er man fri for en havnetunnel.

En af byens magneter med vokseværk er SCIENCE : Det Biovidenskabelige Fakultet for Fødevarer, Veterinærmedicin og Naturressourcer ved Københavns Universitet, med 12 Institutter. En centralisering og en udvidelse af aktiviteterne på Niels Bohr Instituttet på Jagtvej, et nyt byggeri på 52.000 m2 med forskning, som spænder over astronomigeofysik & klimananofysikpartikelfysikkvantefysik og biofysik. Instituttet er en del af Nørre Campus, og er under opførelse ved Rigshospitalet og Panum Instituttet. Instituttet har 4.500 ansatte og 9.500 studerende og er en modernisering af KU’s eksisterende laboratorier. København skulle i alt på byens forskellige uddannelsesinstitutioner huse omkring 145.00 studerende.

Metro Cityringen skal betjene Nørre Campus med en station på Rådmandsmarken som ligger ved Professionshøjskolen. Apropos Cityringen, så er det fremtidige passagertal stadig en ukendt størrelse, og om økonomien i projektet holder vides i skrivende stund ikke. Omtale af Cityringen under indsigelsen til kommuneplan 2015. Før 1. januar 2007 var Det Biovidenskabelige Fakultet med domicil på Bülowsvej kendt som Den Kongelige Veterinær- og Landbohøjskole, som også havde dyrlæge/veterinær og tandlægehøjskolen liggende på adressen. Bygningerne på Frederiksberg er fredet.

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