Er flydende containere en god ide som bolig!

Container boliger

Socialdemokrat Jonas Bjørn Jensen og DSU-formand Sofie Brahe Liljedahl peger på Refshaleøen og Nordhavn i København, hvor der ikke bliver bygget i mange år frem, og de forslår at planloven ændres, så begge områder kan tages i brug til midlertidige containerboliger.

Er det en god ide? Først, hvorfor skal alle bo i Havnen. Dernæst er en container en værdig bolig, eller er det kimen til slum. Og midlertidig bebyggelse har det med at blive permanent, så hvilken forskel er der egentlig på en Roma lejr og et midlertidigt Container Klondyke.

 

Lokalplan III for Batterigrunden

The Battery.

Kurt Thorsen var involveret i et københavnsk milliardprojekt The Battery, et 128.000 m2 bolig- og leisureprojekt i Njalsgade. Kurt Thorsen var ekstern konsulent på projektet. Investoren bag projektet Bach gruppen, som købte grunden i 2005, har døbt projektet The Battery, som er tænkt at skulle huse både boliger, erhvervslokaler, hotel, kultur- og fritidsfaciliteter, institutioner og en Moské. Arkitekt på det ambitiøse projekt er Big, Bjarne Ingels Group.

Bach gruppen skippede de oprindelige planer, hvor de to første forslag krævede en Moské, som ikke kunne finansieres. Projekterne og lokalplaner faldt til jorden, og der blev udarbejdet et nyt forslag.

Christianshavns Vold med Amager Boulevard på venstre side.

I januar 2016 blev en trejde lokalplan godkendt, og i dag er det første spadestik undervejs, da der er tegnet kontrakt på de første 30.000 m2 bebyggelse.

Projektet, omdøbt til Bryggens Bastion, giver mulighed for opførsel af 125.000 m2 ialt, heraf op til 75% boliger med et højhus overfor Tøjhusgrunden, og et ud mod Amager Fælledvej.

  • Projektet kommer til at bestå af otte karréer og to slanke tårne med hhv. 23 og 30 etager (86 og 99 meter).
  • Hver karré udformes med varierende højder fra 3-4 etager ind mod områdets grønne parkstrøg til 8 etagers højde mod Njalsgade og mod nord.
  • Boligerne vil blive opført med forskellige typologier fra rækkehuse eller byhuse til lejligheder og tagboliger.

Lokalplanforslaget Faste Batteri III

KU som er genbo  grunden har i Høringsfasen udtrykt tilfredshed med de fremlagte planer for området.

Illustrationer kan ses på Lokalplanforslaget.

 

Ejendomspriser

Boligsiden har sammenlignet priserne fra 4. kvartal 2015 med priserne i 4. kvartal 2016.Det viser sig, at lejligheder på Christianshavn ikke bare er de dyreste – men de også steget mest. Fra 40.066 til 49.677 kroner eller med 24%.

Christianshavn -                     49.677
 Frederiksberg C -     43.824
 Indre By -            43.475
 Vesterbro -           41.286
 Islands Brygge -      40.701
 Østerbro              40.497
 Frederiksberg N -     40.318
 Nørrebro -              37.856
 Frederiksberg S -       34.270
 Amagerbro -             34.204
 Sundbyøster -           33.092
 Valby                   32.658
 Ørestad -               32.240
 Kongens Enghave -       30.500
 Grøndal -               29.746
 Sundbyvester -          29.421
 Bispebjerg -            29.291
 Vanløse -               28.648
 Brønshøj -              25.893
 Vigerslev -             25.842

Priser pr. m2 (Kilde: Boligsiden.dk)

Bopælspligt

Langt om længe er det gået op for kommunen, at de har tilladt at bebygge havnen med fuglehuse.

Lejligheder som ikke har bopælspligt før end de bliver beboet af en som er tilmeldt folkeregistreret, eller mere end 4% af boligmassen i byens mest eftertragtede områder. Kilde DR.

Kommunen har opgjort tallet til 2.700 ubeboede ud af boliger beliggende i den indre by og Amager Vest (boliger uden bopælspligt), som er blevet til spekulationsobjekter. Det betyder højere priser på de ny boliger som bygges og sælges til – ja til hvem, hvem ved – som en konsekvens. Det er klart at der mangler nogle forventede skatteindtægter, og kunder i metroen, så nu er man pludselig blevet bekymret for udviklingen i Nordhavn, som for tiden udbygges med ekstremt dyre boliger, som der gør det i Sydhavn og på Bryggen.

Nogle boliger i havnen er beboet, andre sættes ofte til salg, mens identitet og lokalt liv er noget man må kigge i vejviseren efter. Tidligere har stikprøver afsløret, at enkelte etageejendomme har haft op imod 20 procent boliger uden bopælspligt. I siloen på Islands Brygge var 33 ud af 84 boliger eksempelvis ubeboede i 2015.

Christianshavn er eksempel på en gennemgangslejre for forældrekøb, hvor en bolig på 58 m2 i stuen købt i 2001 for mindre end 500.000 i dag er udbudt til 2,9 mio. kroner, mens de ældre i store lejligheder  i den indre by vil have ny senior boliger på Christiansholm.

SÅ MANGE PROCENT AF EJERBOLIGERNE STÅR TOMME I KØBENHAVNS BYDELE:

  • Indre By: 4,53 procent
  • Amager Vest: 4,07 procent
  • Østerbro: 1,98 procent
  • Valby: 1,76 procent
  • Vesterbro-Kongens Enghave: 0,87 procent
  • Amager Øst: 0,5 procent
  • Bispebjerg: 0,38 procent
  • Brønshøj-Husum: 0,16 procent
  • Nørrebro: 0,09 procent

Kilde: Københavns Kommune

Det er blevet et broget billede for alle at operere i selv for de som råd.

Københavner nr. 600.000!

København har i dag fejret sin indbygger nr 600.000, en nyfødt dreng klokken 04.00, som er navngivet Erik.

  • Erik er et rigtig godt eksempel på, at København vokser med cirka 1000 indbyggere om måneden. Halvdelen af den vækst, vi har, er nemlig nyfødte babyer. Den anden halvdel er udlændinge, der flytter til København for at arbejde i store danske virksomheder, sagde Frank Jensen tirsdag formiddag til TV 2 Lorry.

Lorry skriver : Der er dog ikke helt sikkert, at Erik faktisk er borger nummer 600.000. Fejringen bygger nemlig på kommunens befolkningsprognoser. Ud fra dem gætter man på, at Københavns borger nummer 600.000 kommer til verden i dag. Men befolkningstilvæksten i København stopper ikke ved 600.000. Prognoser viser nemlig også, at der vil være 100.000 flere københavnere ved udgangen af 2027. Det skyldes især, at flere børnefamilier bliver boende i Københavns Kommune, og at flere flytter til København fra udlandet. Samtidig kommer Boligsiden med den oplysning, at flere børnefamilier søger væk fra København til billigere boligpriser og frisk luft. Nogen til Hvidovre andre til Frederikssund.

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Daligdag på Christianshavn

Christianshavn Nord

En hændelse ved metroen viser med al tydelighed den virkelighed vi som borgere i en kriminel bydel skal leve med.

IMG_0068.JPG

Læs på TV 2 Lorry, hvordan publikum tilråber politiet ved metroen på Christianshavns Torv. Det er skræmmende. Københavns Politi har den 4. august bragt billeder af 16 stenkastende christianit sympatisører tilbage ved en aktion som fjernede hashboderne, hvor 4 personer dagen efter er anholdt, og 2 andre er identificeret.

I BT kan man læse, at Christiania bør omdannes til studieboliger. Et forslag fremsat af blogger og debattør Anne Sophia Hermansen. Det sker i en tid, hvor forældrekøb og boligmanglen til de studerende igen fylder avisoverskrifterne.

Prisen for et hummer i hovedstaden skulle ligge på omkring 4.500 kroner pr. måned, så SU velfærden kommer vist ikke rigtigt de rigtige tilgode! Samtidig kan vi læse at de 16 billige boliger som blev bygget i Sydhavn under Ritt Bjerregaard er steget næsten 100% i pris, grundskyld og bidragssatser er blandt årsagerne, og om 2 år venter tilbagebetaling af million lån.

Billige boliger kan kun blive billige, hvis andre betaler for dem, siger eksperterne og peger på de almene boliger, som slet ikke er billige. For at undgå enklave dannelsen, skal der proppes alment byggeri ned blandt dyrt lejlighedsbyggeri, udtaler professor Jens Kvorning til Politiken. Billige boliger får vi kun hvis prisudviklingen vender. Den vender den dag man begynder at planlægge byen efter nogle andre kriterier. Hvilken by er det københavnerne vil have må være spørgsmålet, hvordan får vi den og hvad koster det. Men det er i dag for sent, byen er planlagt og metroen har taget magten. Redaktionen.

To af broerne i bydelen, Cirkelbroen og Inderhavnsbroen, fungerer igen, men hvorlænge? Christiania advarer folk mod spillet Pokémon, da det brugt på Christiania kan blive misforstået af de mange kriminelle, og dermed risikerer man i værste fald at sætte sit liv på spil. Det er nok slet ikke smart at spille det på Christianshavn.

Huspriserne i det indre København udviser pludselig en vigende tendens, køberne underbyder salgspriserne, måske affødt af de mange klager om støj i nattelivet, hvem ved. Måske de har toppet omkring de 7 – 10 mio. kr. Det synes uagtet fortsat at være attraktivt, for mange velhavende ældre med stor friværdi, at bosætte sig i de ny bydele, som Carlsbergbyen og i Nordhavn.

De kan betale prisen, ofte kontant, og det skulle i 2015 dreje som om et overskud på tilflytningskontoen på omkring 1534 personer, som på et tidspunkt skal i ældrepleje, og måske på plejehjem i København. De har vist ikke den samme standard. Grunden til at mange vælger at bo i byen skyldes flere ting, hvor nærhed til børn, det kulturelle udbud og varierede spisesteder trækker i en drøm, mens havearbejdet, som græsplæne og hækkesaks skubber på. Elevator eller stueetage er dog et “must” for de fleste.

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Sandheden bag tallet 1.000 ny borgere i København om måneden.

Spekulation eller reel boligmangel! Berlinske offentliggør i dag de tal som ligger bag befolkningstilvæksten i København i 2015. Det er ikke tilflyttere fra resten af landet, flugten fra land til by, som får befolkningstallet til at stige i København. De 11.297 ny københavnere, som byen fik i 2015, er primært nyfødte børn og indvandrere, og fordeler sig med et fødselsoverskud på 5.770 og 6.023 indvandrere, dvs. nettoindvandring fra udlandet. I forhold til resten af landet, fra land til by, så var der et minus på 211 personer.

Oplysningerne indeholder ikke tal for de studerende, som på årsbasis udgør en temmelig mobil gruppe. Flere studerende, flere københavnere, og for denne gruppe gælder, at forældrekøb af lejligheder har været med til at smadre prisstrukturen for de mange små billige lejligheder. København bygger i dag etagebyggeri i kasser, hvor flere mener at byen står overfor en gigantisk oprydning af boligmassen, da mange boliger iflg. forskellige udsagn ikke har de kvaliteter som forventes til specielt miljø og udenoms plads, som er et “must”for mange. Derfor kan mange københavnere, og ikke mindst de studerende, være på en gennemrejse, men i 2015-2016 synes mange unge familier alligevel at vælge bylivet i en lejlighed, frem for en bolig på landet, hvilket lægger et prismæssigt pres på familieboligerne. Denne stigning betyder samtidig at der frigøres kapital til at købe et billigt hus på “landet”.

 

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Fald i boligsalget

Juni 2016.

Kvadratmeterprisen i København og på Frederiksberg har passeret de 40.000 kroner, det viser tal fra BRF, men det tager lidt længere tid at sælge, i dag fra 3 til 9 måneder. En rummelig familiebolig i København koster dermed omkring 6 mio. kr.

Maj 2016. Salget af lejligheder i København er iflg. Boligsiden.dk faldet med 16% de første 4 måneder af 2016 i forhold til salget af boliger i samme periode i fjor. En kvartalsopgørelse oplyser, at faldet i København by er på 26%, og i Hovedstadsregionen på 19%.

Til gengæld går salget frem i områder hvor boligerne er billigere, hvilket er Vest- og Sydsjælland. Der er lidt modsatrettede informationer om udviklingen.

JP skriver den 21. maj, at en ny boligboble lurer under overfladen i København. Priserne stiger, det virker selvforstærkende, og de er nu på højde med priserne før finanskrisen. Samtidig er salgstiderne kortere, ca. 80 dage før, nu 69 dage, men samtidig oplyses det, at liggetiden er steget med 5% til 68 dage det sidste år.

Salget har i 2015 toppet de senere års salg med plus 7.000 solgte boliger, og denne udvikling til stigende priser giver panderynker hos økonomer, da flere og flere fravælger de dyre boliger i København.

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En ny og markant bydel er på vej i Ørestad.

Ejerne bag Bella Center, hotellerne Bella Sky og Crowne Plaza vil investere 7 mia. kr. i en ny international bydel.

For første gang har en aktør i konference-, messe- og hotelbranchen besluttet sig for at investere i et bydelsprojekt, hvis formål er at styrke Bella Centret, og de omkring liggende hotellers tæthed på byliv ved at bringe mere livskvalitet til det futuristiske område, som Ørestad City er ved at udvikle sig til.
Forventningen er, at de mange kulturelle, folkelige og internationale events og besøgende i Bella Center vil kunne skabe et helt særegent og unikt byliv i Bella Kvarter, som skal forene de internationale konferencegæster med et lokalmiljø med familier, og grill pølser i haven.
Der projekteres med 2000 boliger, og med op til 7000 arbejdspladser, en bred vifte fra rækkehuse, almene boliger, newyorker lofts, kontorer, institutioner og forretninger.
Visionen med Bellakvarter er at skabe en bydel, der både er københavnsk, international og mangfoldig. Et sted, hvor børn leger i gaderne, forældre handler ind, folk går på arbejde, som blander sig med gæsterne på hotellerne, eller på bydelens caféer med en delegeret til en kongres.

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Børnefamilierne flytter væk Antallet af ejendomshandler i Københavns Kommune er gået tilbage med 37% i 2015, mens hushandler i flere kommuner i provinsen er gået frem med mere end 80%. IMG_1043 Samlet på Sjælland er ejendomshandler gået 19% frem. Kilde Boligsiden.dk Tusind flere københavnere om måneden blev i 2015 til 69 færre om året. I 2014 var der tale om 764 flere, og ikke om 12.000 ny borgere. Et 5 år gammelt mantra er simpelthen forkert, som det også fremgår af indsigelsen mod kommuneplan 2015. Studerende flytter til byen, de får sammen med byens børn børn, og børnefamilier flytter ud af byen, skriver Politiken. København er rablende dyr, så i de kommende år forventes tallet for fraflytning at stige dramatisk. Fødselsoverskud og indvandring sikrer dog fortsat, at indbyggertallet stiger, men hvorlænge? Omvendt kan det fortsat høje prisniveau, en stigende efterspørgsel på billige boliger, og boliger til singler betyde, at det bliver stadig mere vanskeligt at finde en egnet bolig. En ny bolig på landet til 1,5 mio. kr. koster i København nemt mellem 4 og 5 mio. kr. Nogle koster 7 mio. kr. Det er prisen for en ny moderne lejlighed på 90 – 100 m2, hvilket svarer til mellem 35.000 og 40.000 kr. pr m2. I Københavns omegn koster en familiebolig, hus og have, måske mellem 2,5 og 3,5 mio. kr. Domicilerne i København er i 2015 også blevet mere omkostningsbeviste, de skal spare på driften, de centraliserer, og nogle flytter. Den manglende infrastruktur til og fra omegnens attraktive boligområder vil på sigt spille ind på erhvervsudviklingen i takt med København afspærrer flere og flere gennemfartsveje og besværliggør livet for alle andre trafikanter end cyklisterne. Frank Jensen fastholder, at byen vokser. Grunden til, at vi har den her vækst på 10.000 mennesker pr. år er, at der er fødselsoverskud og indvandring fra udlandet, siger overborgmesteren.

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Ny Bolig Den sidste etape af boligbebyggelsen Strandtorvet i Havnevigen på Islands Brygge, med en placering op til Nokken, meldes nu klar til indflytning til september. De resterende boliger sælges fra den 21. februar af NCC til priser fra 5,7 mio. kr. for 122 m2 til 7,1 mio. kr. for 152 m2. med mulighed for tilkøb af en parkeringsplads.

Billedet nedenfor viser de ny boliger på Krøyers Plads som NCC også har sat sat til salg, men de er vist en del dyrere, og om de alle er reserverede vides ikke. IMG_0917

Nordhavn, Islands Brygge og Carlsberg Byen er kun et lille udpluk af de nye boligkvarterer, der i øjeblikket skyder op, skriver TV Lorry.

I samarbejde med den uafhængige boligside Boliga.dk har Berlingske undersøgt kvadratmeterpriserne i Københavns nye bydele, og tendensen er klar: Udbudspriserne ligger væsentligt over gennemsnittet for nybyggerier i resten af hovedstadskommunen.

I Nordhavn koster en bolig i gennemsnit pr. m2 54.003 kroner, og her skal der betales metroskat til BY & Havn. I det øvrige København ligger m2 prisen flere steder på op til 38.000.- kr. mod 23.000 kr. for ikke så længe siden. En ny analyse fra boligsiden Boliga viser, at den gennemsnitlige m2 pris i Københavns Kommune er skudt i vejret fra 22.700 kroner i 2011 til 31.250 kroner i 2015. For lejligheder i prisklassen 3,5 til 4,0 mio. kr. skal hustanden have en indkomst på minimum 1 mio. om året, eller en stor kontant udbetaling.

På Strandvænget med boliger til mellem 5 og 7 mio. kr. kræver det en husstandsindkomst på 1,5 mio. kroner om året for at kunne købe. Københavns overborgmester Franck Jensen er meget bevidst om denne udvikling, som jo i princippet er en direkte konsekvens af udgifterne til metro og metro cityringen, projekter som belaster den kommunale økonomi i de næste minimum 50 år, for om prognoserne for passagertal dennegang er i overensstemmelse med fakta er mere end tvivlsomt, og problemet som opstår i kølvandet mener han kan klares med planlovens ny 25% regel til alment byggeri, som vist bliver droppet igen.

Københavns Kommune har i øjeblikket 3300 almene boliger planlagt til opførelse efter 25% reglen i planloven. Han forventer yderligere 1000 almene boliger i Ørestad, 600 i Carlsberg Byen og 1000 på Levantkaj, (som også skal betale for deres adgang til metro) og på den måde kan kommunen opretholde en fornuftigt balance i byen, da man uforandret er forankret i, at 1000 ny borgere hver måned bosætter sig i byen, og de som ikke har en indkomst på + 1 mio. kroner om året, de skal også have en bolig i byen. DF er dog sammen med de borgerlige partier stemt for at afskaffe reglen, som opfattes som ekspropriation, og en unødig indgriben i den private ejendomsret.

IMG_1319.JPG

I Ørestad, hvor det hele startede, hvor bilernes parkeringer er gjort til en pengemaskine for By & Havn, er m2 prisen stadig billligere (mellem 2,5 og 5 – 6 mio. kroner for for mellem 90 m2 og 140 m2) set i forhold til de øvrige områder i Københavns Havn, men det er i dag også ret indlysende at forstå, hvorfor det er gået sådan. Udviklingen af bydelen som boligområde er i dag ikke længere prioriteret, og bydelen henvender sig primært til firmaer som ser placeringen som gunstig for aktiviteter som kræver adgang til Kastrup Lufthavn.

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