Tag-arkiv: Bolig boble

Er en ny boble på vej?

Københavns boligmarked

Boligejere i København har siden 2009 tjent styrtende på gensalg, og meget tyder på det overvejende er ren spekulation.

Køberne køber nemlig primært for at kunne sælge med fortjeneste, og det er lykkedes indtil nu. De korte liggetider – i gennemsnit 64 dage, men ofte mindre – får priserne til at stige, men hvor længe trenden holder før end korthuset falder sammen er ikke til at vide. Gevinsten har flere steder været på 1 mill|on kroner eller mere.

De stigende renter, som forventes at bl|ve en realitet  i 2017 kan måske få markedet til at kollapse.

Fald i boligsalget

Juni 2016.

Kvadratmeterprisen i København og på Frederiksberg har passeret de 40.000 kroner, det viser tal fra BRF, men det tager lidt længere tid at sælge, i dag fra 3 til 9 måneder. En rummelig familiebolig i København koster dermed omkring 6 mio. kr.

Maj 2016. Salget af lejligheder i København er iflg. Boligsiden.dk faldet med 16% de første 4 måneder af 2016 i forhold til salget af boliger i samme periode i fjor. En kvartalsopgørelse oplyser, at faldet i København by er på 26%, og i Hovedstadsregionen på 19%.

Til gengæld går salget frem i områder hvor boligerne er billigere, hvilket er Vest- og Sydsjælland. Der er lidt modsatrettede informationer om udviklingen.

JP skriver den 21. maj, at en ny boligboble lurer under overfladen i København. Priserne stiger, det virker selvforstærkende, og de er nu på højde med priserne før finanskrisen. Samtidig er salgstiderne kortere, ca. 80 dage før, nu 69 dage, men samtidig oplyses det, at liggetiden er steget med 5% til 68 dage det sidste år.

Salget har i 2015 toppet de senere års salg med plus 7.000 solgte boliger, og denne udvikling til stigende priser giver panderynker hos økonomer, da flere og flere fravælger de dyre boliger i København.

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